Monday, April 18, 2016

What would Hillary do; Should Hillary Clinton Quit if she loses New York?

The question of should Bernie Sanders quit the race if he doesn't win New York keeps coming up. My question is that the real issue is whether or not Hillary should quit the race if she doesn't win by double digits in New York. There is no argument for Hillary to continue in the primaries as she is not growing a movement and there is a clear argument for Bernie to continue as he is growing the democratic base and it will continue towards the summer and California primary.

I am not saying that Hillary still won't have a chance to sway the Super Delegates and squeeze out a win by destroying the movement that has followed Bernie Sanders, but her victory would be hollow, especially if she loses in New York. The reason Clinton is weak is not because of Sanders, but because of her political baggage and these issues will be exploited in November. Bernie cannot expect to win New York based on the polls, so he does not have anything to lose. If he does win or come within single digits, it will be devastating for Hillary. That is how the question should be phrased, What will Hillary do?

Pressure on Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton in New York - NY Times

An obvious question for New York is whether or not their restrictive voter registration requirements will affect voters that want to vote for Sanders but won't be able to because of the closed party system and early voter registration deadline. The restrictive rules in New York prohibit a late runner from getting new voters into the system. Therefore if Bernie Sanders loses, but comes close he has effectively won New York and should look forward to California.

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